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Both sales and new listings dipped this past week. Is it the start of the holiday season, or just a one-off? That's the question.

In the last six weeks, the sales numbers have been strong. However, one strong week has typically been followed by a weak week. This week may just be a continuation of that pattern...maybe.

Whatever the case, the sales number is still strong for this time of year (218 vs 240 in the previous week). We remain over the 200 sale threshold (where we've remained for the last 2.5 months).

New listings dropped dramatically from 352 to just 279. It looks like that number last week may have just been a flash in the pan. It's likely that we will see the new listing number continue to dwindle into the coming weeks.

Interestingly, total active listings rose (from 3,159 to 3,206). That's the first rise in listings in the last two months...although it wasn't significant, it is notable.

Our market remains in a seller's market with 3.68 months of inventory (up from 3.29). Condos...

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Vancouver Real Estate – Monthly Market Update – Infographic – October 2021

October saw recent trends continue...going against what we often see at this time of year. Demand continued to rise, while supply shrank, further pressuring prices.

The real story here is demand. It's been unusually high all year (remember those record setting months in the spring?). While we are no longer setting records, the numbers remain unseasonably high.

October had 986 sales. That was about 5% over last month and over last year. But it was an astoishing 22% over the 10-year average.

Meanwhile, supply has been shrkinking.

In October there were 1,446 new listings. That was down 22% from the month before as well as the previous year. It was SLIGHTLY over the 10-year average (+2%).

Total active listings fll to 3,423. 10% lower than September and 22% below the previous year. It was also 8% below the 10-year average.

That combination means that there's continued upward pressure on prices throughout the city. The one exception is Westside houses (-1.3% month-to-month)...which makes sense...

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The last week saw the general trend of heightened demand and limited supply continue. 
 
There were 240 sales in Vancouver (up slightly from 231). For the most part, we've been bouncing around in the mid-200s for weekly sales throughout the fall. No change there.
 
It was the number of New Listings that was a bit of a surprise. After languishing for much of the last couple of months we saw a big uptick going from 302 to 352. That's the most we've seen in the last 5 weeks.
 
And yet, Total Active Listings fell once again. We hit 3,159 (down from 3,255). That's the lowest number of active listings since WAY back at the end of March 2021.
 
We continue to find ourselves in a Seller's Market. This past week we dropped to 3.29 MOI. In the last 3 months, the two lowest MOI (indicating a Seller's Market) were in the last 3 weeks.
 
The hottest sub-markets were East Van condos (2.02 MOI) and East Van houses (2.95 MOI). The EV condos have consistently led our market...
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Our recent trend continued in the last week of Vancouver real estate. Demand was strong and supply continued to shrink.

Sales did drop from 267 to 231. However, we remain well above the 200 mark...as we have now for the seventh straight week.

New listings, meanwhile, continue to trend lower. There were 302 new listings in the last week which was down from 321. Total listings also dropped to 3,255 from 3,384. That's the lowest number of active listings we've had since mid-August.

Overall, our market is in a seller's market with 3.52 MOI (up from 3.17 MOI in the previous week). All sub-markets EXCEPT westside houses found themselves still in a seller's market.

The westside house market is the only sub-market in buyer's market territory. This past week it was 6.32 MOI (up from 4.86). East Vancouver townhouses (1.63 MOI) and condos (2.14 MOI) were the hottest.

This remains a "hot" market with seller's mostly in control. The most activity continues to be in the more "affordable" price segments...and...

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The trend that started just after Labour Day continued this past week.

Demand increased, while supply dwindled.

That trend broke in the previous week (Week 42), but it looks as though that was just a temporary blip.

Sales increased to 267 (from 218). Since the end of May, that was only the second time that sales were over 250.

New listings declined to 321 (from 344) and total listings fell to 3,384 (from 3,452). That's the lowest number of listings we've had since the beginning of July.

With a week like that, it's no surprise that every sub-market but one was a seller's market (overall, we had just 3.17 MOI). The one exception was for Westside houses...but it was the best week for Westside houses in months (4.86 MOI).

The hottest sub-markets were East Van condos (2.03 MOI) and Westside condos (2.6 MOI). East Van houses had one of their strongest weeks in months as well with just 2.62 MOI (jumping from 27 to 41 sales).

The lack of inventory continues to hamstring our market. It's unlikely...

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There was a distinct change of tone in the last week.
 
Recently, we were seeing a steady rise in demand while supply shrank. The market softened a little in the last week. New listings rose while sales dropped and we moved closer to a balanced market overall.
 
There were 218 sales in the last week, down from 248. This was the lowest number of sales we've had in the last month.
 
Meanwhile, new listings rose from 327 to 344...just the second week in a row that new listings increased...but that pushed total active listings slightly higher to 3,452 (from 3,446.
 
After a month of being in an overall seller's market the months-of-inventory rose to 3.96. That's still a seller's market but it's right on the edge of being balanced.
 
The hottest sub-markets continue to be East Van condos (2.13 MOI) and townhouses (2 MOI). Westside houses are the slowest (7.63 MOI) but it was Downtown condos that saw the biggest change...going from 4.12 MOI to 5.46 with a drop in sales...
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Vancouver Real Estate – Monthly Market Update – Infographic – September 2021

September is typically the onset of Vancouver's fall market. It's USUALLY the second busiest season in our real estate market...where we see a peak in both listing and sales activity.

After everyone takes a breather in August, the fall season begins as soon as Labour Day is behind us. This year, September didn't disappoint but it did hold a big surprise (unless, that is, you've been following my weekly market updates).

There were 934 sales in the month. That was +4.7% over August sales (and down 4.4% from a year ago). What was most notable, however, is that it was a whopping 21% over the 10-year average.

While the demand (sales) side delivered as expected, it's the supply (listings) that were a surprise. While we typically see a flood of listings in the fall, it was really just a trickle through September.

There were 1,854 new listings (+40.6% over August and -14% from the previous year). Total active listings were 3,647 which was -4% from the 10-year average.

This rise in demand and drop in...

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After a brief bump in new listings, this fall market has been characterized by a lack of options. The first week of September saw nearly 500 new listings come onto the market...but instead of stabilizing or raising, new listings have done nothing but decline for the last four weeks (dropping to 327 this past week).
 
Meanwhile, sales aren't setting the world on fire. But, they have been steady for the last month. Sales increased from 230 to 248 in the last week.
 
Overall, active listings hit 3,446. That's the third consecutive week that they've DECLINED. Unusual, for this time of year and an indication of the strength in demand.
 
The general pattern for the last month is that the market has been moving further and further into a seller's market. Buyer demand is steady, but more than anything it is the supply side that is limited.
 
If you are looking to buy right now, you will find that almost every sub-market is in a seller's market. That's true especially for everything...
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Are you a frustrated buyer in Vancouver's real estate market?
You aren't alone!
This past week's numbers reinforce the experience of many out there right now. Demand exists but it's the supply that isn't co-operating...remaining unseasonably low.
Yes, new listings did actually rise in the last week. Going from 339 to 362. But that is just a trickle of new listings at what is normally our second busiest listing season (next to the Spring Market).
And sales did edge SLIGHTLY lower (from 240 to 230). But again, we are well above the 200-sale threshold...and I would suggest that this number would be higher IF buyers actually had inventory to choose from!
Overall, our market (for the second week in a row) is in a Seller's Market (3.8 months-of-inventory). East Van and Westside townhouses led the strength with 2.39 and 2.86 MOI respectively. Condos also continued strong Seller's Markets throughout the city.
On the weak side Westside houses (6.57 MOI) didn't relinquish the crown it's been carrying for...

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In the last week (Week 39 - September 19th - 25th, 2021) we had a bit of a surprise in the Vancouver real estate market. The last couple weeks saw a very consistent increase in activity across the board. However, this past week gave us a bit of a surprise.

Sales continued to ramp up, reaching 240 in the past week (up from 218 in the previous week). That's the highest number of sales that we've had in Vancouver since way back in Week 25 (mid-June).

The surprise of the week was that new listings dropped quite significantly. We went from 440 last week (and 492 the week before) down to just 339...at a time where we usually see listing inventory build.

With that increase in demand and the drop in new listings we ended up with overall active listings falling slightly to 3,598 (down from 3,616). For the first time in a month we moved well into an overall seller's market with just 3.75 MOI.

Every sub-market (with two exceptions) was in a seller's market in the past week. The hottest sub-market continued...

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